Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for BSE:533103 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
BSE:533103 DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Jindal Cotex's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Jindal Cotex's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Jindal Cotex's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Jindal Cotex has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.
This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.
Show me the analysis anyway
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
Expected Luxury industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
expected to grow at an
Unable to compare Jindal Cotex's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
Unable to compare Jindal Cotex's earnings growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to compare Jindal Cotex's revenue growth to the India market average as no estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Jindal Cotex is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
Unable to determine if Jindal Cotex is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Jindal Cotex's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Sandeep Jindal has been the Managing Director of Jindal Cotex Limited since October 1st, 2007. Mr. Jindal has an overall experience of 10 years in Textiles sector. He looks after day to day affairs of Jindal Cotex Limited. In 1998, he joined the group business. He has been instrumental in devising it’s diversification strategy and pursuant to which he promoted Jindal Cotex Limited to set up yarn spinning project. In 1999, he set up the first project with a capacity of 6912 spindles. Since then, Jindal Cotex Limited is conserving its resources and increasing the capacity year on year basis. He is also looking at adding the value added textile products to the product portfolio of Jindal group and with the same view JCL has set up two Subsidiaries which is set up manufacturing facilities for Medical Sterile Cotton Products and Coated/Banner fabrics. He served as the Chairman of Jindal Cotex Limited from October 25, 2010 to September 2014. He is an Executive and Non-Independent Director of Jindal Cotex Limited December 10, 1998. He is a Commerce Graduate from Punjab University.
Sandeep's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Sandeep's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in India.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Jindal Cotex management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
MD & Executive Director
Compliance Officer & Company Secretary
Assistant General Manager of Accounts
Assistant General Manager of Engineering
Deputy General Manager of Technical
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the Jindal Cotex board of directors is about average.
Jindal Cotex Limited manufactures and sells yarns in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Textile and Energy Generation. The Textile segment produces acrylic, polyester, poly/cotton blended, cotton, and other blended yarns and knitted cloth. The Energy Generation segment is involved in the generation and sale of energy from wind mill. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Ludhiana, India.
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