Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is
available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale
at half price, they could be considered
undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current
share
price of
Indo Count Industries
to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.
The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth
today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the
future.
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for BSE:521016 using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
Indo Count Industries
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use
analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
BSE:521016 DCF 1st Stage: Next 5 year cash flow forecast
= Present value of next 5 years cash flows +
Terminal Value
=
₹847.94 +
₹3,055.84
₹3,903.78
Equity Value per Share (INR)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= ₹3,903.78 /
197.40
₹19.78
BSE:521016 Discount to Share Price
Calculation
Result
Value per share (INR)
From above.
₹19.78
Current discount
Discount to share price of
₹32.00
= -1 x (₹32.00 - ₹19.78) / ₹19.78
-61.8%
Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s
analysis model
.
The current share price of
Indo Count Industries
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
premium
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
Indo Count Industries's
earnings,
growth
and
assets
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are
Indo Count Industries's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past
performance, by looking at estimated
growth
and how much profit it is expected to make.
Future estimates come from
professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get
it right!
6.1%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is
Indo Count Industries
expected to grow at an
attractive
rate?
Indo Count Industries's earnings growth is positive but not above the low risk savings rate of 7.6%.
Growth vs Market Checks
Indo Count Industries's earnings growth is positive but not above the India market average.
Indo Count Industries's revenue growth is positive but not above the India market average.
Indo Count Industries's earnings are expected to grow by 6.1% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Indo Count Industries's revenue is expected to grow by 8.6% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
All data from Indo Count Industries Company Filings, last reported 10 months ago, and in
Trailing twelve months (TTM)
annual period rather than quarterly.
BSE:521016 Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in INR Millions)
EPS *
EPS High Estimate
EPS Low Estimate
Avg. No. Analysts
2021-03-31
7.05
7.10
7.00
2.00
2020-03-31
6.15
7.06
5.60
3.00
2019-03-31
4.94
6.03
4.30
3.00
BSE:521016 Past Financials Data
Date (Data in INR Millions)
EPS *
2018-03-31
6.38
2017-03-31
11.76
2016-03-31
12.74
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return
(profit) compared to the available
funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
Indo Count Industries is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
We assess
Indo Count Industries's future performance by looking at:
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a
premium to keep pace with inflation?
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the India market? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the India market? (1 check)
Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making
in the relevant year.
Indo Count Industries
has a total score of
0/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.
Indo Count Industries's last earnings update was 288 days ago.
The past performance of a company can be measured by how much
growth
it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets
it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare
Indo Count Industries's growth in the last year to its industry (Luxury).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it
has maintained that growth in the year.
Indo Count Industries's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years, however the most recent earnings are below average.
Indo Count Industries's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the 5-year average.
Indo Count Industries's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the IN Luxury industry average.
Earnings and Revenue History
Indo Count Industries's
revenue
and
profit
over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a
loss will show up in red.
All data from Indo Count Industries Company Filings, last reported 10 months ago, and in
Trailing twelve months (TTM)
annual period rather than quarterly.
BSE:521016 Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in INR Millions)
Revenue
Net Income *
G+A Expenses
R&D Expenses
2018-03-31
18,585.16
1,260.39
1,330.91
2017-03-31
21,528.18
2,322.39
1,310.44
2016-03-31
20,626.96
2,513.93
1,103.84
2015-03-31
17,168.92
1,455.42
874.61
2014-03-31
14,676.31
1,098.42
1,534.79
2013-03-31
11,867.78
292.16
1,205.91
2012-03-31
7,797.13
-21.82
688.28
*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.
Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is
done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available
funds,
assets
and
capital.
Indo Count Industries has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
Indo Count Industries used its assets more efficiently than the IN Luxury industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
Indo Count Industries's use of capital deteriorated last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
We assess
Indo Count Industries's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
Luxury
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Indo Count Industries
has a total score of
2/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
(assets)
and owe
(liabilities).
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Indo Count Industries's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
Indo Count Industries is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Indo Count Industries's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Indo Count Industries's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2.9x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
bad,
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
We assess
Indo Count Industries's financial health by checking for:
Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest
at all)? (1 check)
Indo Count Industries
has a total score of
5/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a
bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
2.5%
Current annual income from
Indo Count Industries
dividends.
Estimated to be
2.01%
next year.
If you bought
₹2,000 of
Indo Count Industries
shares you are expected to receive
₹50
in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you
can get in a
savings account?
It is up there with the
best dividend paying companies?
Indo Count Industries's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in India (0.56%).
Indo Count Industries's dividend is above the markets top 25% of dividend payers in India (2.1%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not
wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate
to count toward your assessment of the stock.
We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
We assess
Indo Count Industries's dividend by checking for:
Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.3%) - if
not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the
dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1
check)
How sustainable is the dividend, can
Indo Count Industries
afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than
90%)? (2 checks)
Indo Count Industries
has a total score of
4/6, see the detailed checks below.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
CEO
KailashLalpuria
COMPENSATION
₹6,867,000
AGE
60
TENURE AS CEO
0 years
CEO Bio
Mr. Kailash Ramniwas Lalpuria has been Whole-Time Director of Indo Count Industries Ltd., since May 4, 2018 and its Chief Executive Officer since February 8, 2019. Mr. Lalpuria was a Group President of Indo Count Industries Ltd., since November 13, 2017. He served as an Executive Director at Indo Count Industries Ltd. from November 11, 2010 to November 13, 2017. A qualified Chartered Accountant, Mr. Lalpuria is a Science graduate from st. Xavier's College in Mumbai and has more than 35 years of experience in the Textile Sector. His expertise includes Strategic Growth of Organization, Planning Joint Ventures, Developing Overseas Sales Team, Contribution in overall Value Chain, New Areas of Business Development, Commercial Aspects of Export Business, Sales & Marketing and Customer Relationship Management. He has the entrepreneur skills to conceptualize business and establish it as a successful enterprise. He is also Director of Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and on committees of TEXPROCIL and FICCI.
CEO Compensation
Kailash's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Kailash's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in India.
Management Team
Anil Jain
TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
₹50M
Kailash Lalpuria
TITLE
CEO & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
₹7M
AGE
60
Amruta Avasare
TITLE
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer
COMPENSATION
₹3M
TENURE
3 yrs
Kamal Mitra
TITLE
Director of Works & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
₹3M
AGE
65
K. Muralidharan
TITLE
Chief Financial Officer
J. Arora
TITLE
President of Home Textiles
Sharad Mokashi
TITLE
Deputy Company Secretary
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
Indo Count Industries
board of directors in years:
5.3
Average Tenure
65
Average Age
The tenure for the Indo Count Industries board of directors is about average.
A Look At The Fair Value Of Indo Count Industries Limited (BOM:521016)
Today I will be providing a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Indo Count Industries Limited (BOM:521016) as an investment opportunity. … by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them to today's value. … If you are reading this and its not June 2018 then I highly recommend you check out the latest calculation for Indo Count Industries by following the link below.
Indo Count Industries Limited manufactures and sells home textile products in India. It offers bed sheets, including flat sheets, fitted sheets, and pillow cases; fashion bedding products, such as comforters, bed sheets, shams, quilts, coverlets, and decorative pillows; utility bedding products comprising mattress pads and protectors, and pillow shells; and institutional bedding products, which include basic white sheets, shams and pillows, bed skirts, and duvet covers. The company also produces cotton yarns, as well as provides bed linens. In addition, it operates showrooms in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Australia. The company sells its products primarily under the Harlequin, Scion, Sanderson, Boutique Living, Revival, The Pure Collection, Heirlooms of India, Boutique Living Coastal, Atlas, Morris & Co., and Haven brands through multi brand outlets, large format stores, merchants, importers, and e-commerce platform. It exports its products to approximately 54 countries. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.