Stock Analysis

Kshitij Polyline (NSE:KSHITIJPOL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:KSHITIJPOL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Kshitij Polyline Limited (NSE:KSHITIJPOL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kshitij Polyline

How Much Debt Does Kshitij Polyline Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Kshitij Polyline had ₹405.7m of debt, up from ₹176.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹8.15m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹397.5m.

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NSEI:KSHITIJPOL Debt to Equity History September 13th 2023

How Strong Is Kshitij Polyline's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kshitij Polyline had liabilities of ₹312.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹156.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹8.15m as well as receivables valued at ₹304.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹156.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Kshitij Polyline has a market capitalization of ₹326.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.71 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 17.1 hit our confidence in Kshitij Polyline like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Kshitij Polyline's EBIT was down 55% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kshitij Polyline will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kshitij Polyline recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Kshitij Polyline's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Kshitij Polyline's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Kshitij Polyline (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.