Does Windsor Machines (NSE:WINDMACHIN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Windsor Machines Limited (NSE:WINDMACHIN) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Windsor Machines's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Windsor Machines had debt of ₹358.7m, up from ₹264.8m in one year. However, it also had ₹113.1m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹245.6m.
How Healthy Is Windsor Machines' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Windsor Machines had liabilities of ₹1.81b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.09b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹113.1m as well as receivables valued at ₹482.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.31b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Windsor Machines has a market capitalization of ₹3.89b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Windsor Machines has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.69 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.0 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. We note that Windsor Machines grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Windsor Machines's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Windsor Machines actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Happily, Windsor Machines's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Windsor Machines can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Windsor Machines (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About NSEI:WINDMACHIN
Windsor Machines
Engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic processing machinery in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet very low.