Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Vascon Engineers Limited (NSE:VASCONEQ) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the IN Construction industry.
What Is Vascon Engineers's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Vascon Engineers had ₹1.56b of debt in September 2022, down from ₹2.14b, one year before. However, it also had ₹1.18b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹377.3m.
How Strong Is Vascon Engineers' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vascon Engineers had liabilities of ₹6.50b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹720.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.18b in cash and ₹2.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹3.68b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Vascon Engineers has a market capitalization of ₹8.21b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.67 and interest cover of 4.2 times, it seems to us that Vascon Engineers is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably, Vascon Engineers's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 144% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vascon Engineers will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Vascon Engineers actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Happily, Vascon Engineers's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Vascon Engineers is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Vascon Engineers has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:VASCONEQ
Vascon Engineers
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) services in India.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.