Stock Analysis

Siemens Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

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NSEI:SIEMENS

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Siemens Limited (NSE:SIEMENS), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its third-quarter results last week. Siemens missed analyst forecasts, with revenues of ₹52b and statutory earnings per share (EPS) of ₹16.24, falling short by 6.2% and 9.3% respectively. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Siemens

NSEI:SIEMENS Earnings and Revenue Growth August 13th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Siemens' ten analysts is for revenues of ₹260.8b in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 21% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 21% to ₹83.42. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹268.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹85.47 in 2025. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹6,937 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Siemens at ₹8,738 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹4,218. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Siemens' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 16% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 14% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.1% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Siemens to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Siemens going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see our analysis of Siemens' Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.