Stock Analysis

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited's (NSE:RVNL) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

NSEI:RVNL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.8x Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (NSE:RVNL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Rail Vikas Nigam has been relatively sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Rail Vikas Nigam

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RVNL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Rail Vikas Nigam will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Rail Vikas Nigam?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Rail Vikas Nigam would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.4%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 118% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 2.6% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 26% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Rail Vikas Nigam is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Rail Vikas Nigam's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Rail Vikas Nigam's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Rail Vikas Nigam you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Rail Vikas Nigam. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.