Stock Analysis

Jain Irrigation Systems (NSE:JISLJALEQS) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NSEI:JISLJALEQS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (NSE:JISLJALEQS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jain Irrigation Systems

What Is Jain Irrigation Systems's Debt?

As you can see below, Jain Irrigation Systems had ₹67.3b of debt at September 2022, down from ₹71.1b a year prior. However, it does have ₹1.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹65.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JISLJALEQS Debt to Equity History January 28th 2023

A Look At Jain Irrigation Systems' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jain Irrigation Systems had liabilities of ₹49.6b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹40.6b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.93b and ₹23.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹65.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹18.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Jain Irrigation Systems would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.82 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.4 hit our confidence in Jain Irrigation Systems like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Jain Irrigation Systems saw its EBIT drop by 2.8% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Jain Irrigation Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, Jain Irrigation Systems produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Jain Irrigation Systems's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Jain Irrigation Systems to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Jain Irrigation Systems is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.