Stock Analysis

Jain Irrigation Systems (NSE:JISLJALEQS) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NSEI:JISLJALEQS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (NSE:JISLJALEQS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Jain Irrigation Systems

How Much Debt Does Jain Irrigation Systems Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 Jain Irrigation Systems had debt of ₹71.1b, up from ₹63.0b in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹5.45b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹65.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JISLJALEQS Debt to Equity History January 11th 2022

How Strong Is Jain Irrigation Systems' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jain Irrigation Systems had liabilities of ₹68.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹29.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹5.45b in cash and ₹24.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹68.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹28.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Jain Irrigation Systems would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.58 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.3 hit our confidence in Jain Irrigation Systems like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Jain Irrigation Systems achieved a positive EBIT of ₹3.8b in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jain Irrigation Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Jain Irrigation Systems recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Jain Irrigation Systems's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Jain Irrigation Systems has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Jain Irrigation Systems (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.