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Earnings Not Telling The Story For IKIO Technologies Limited (NSE:IKIO) After Shares Rise 27%
IKIO Technologies Limited (NSE:IKIO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 25x, you may consider IKIO Technologies as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at IKIO Technologies over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for IKIO Technologies
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like IKIO Technologies' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 41%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 28% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that IKIO Technologies is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On IKIO Technologies' P/E
Shares in IKIO Technologies have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of IKIO Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for IKIO Technologies (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than IKIO Technologies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:IKIO
IKIO Technologies
Designs, develops, and produces light emitting diode (LED) lighting and energy solutions in India.
Excellent balance sheet low.
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