Stock Analysis

Gillanders Arbuthnot and Company Limited (NSE:GILLANDERS) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%

NSEI:GILLANDERS
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Gillanders Arbuthnot and Company Limited (NSE:GILLANDERS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 50% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in India's Industrials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may still consider Gillanders Arbuthnot as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Gillanders Arbuthnot

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GILLANDERS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 2nd 2024

What Does Gillanders Arbuthnot's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Gillanders Arbuthnot's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Gillanders Arbuthnot, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Gillanders Arbuthnot's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Gillanders Arbuthnot's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Gillanders Arbuthnot is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Gillanders Arbuthnot's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Gillanders Arbuthnot's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Gillanders Arbuthnot revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Gillanders Arbuthnot that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.