Stock Analysis

Electrosteel Castings Limited's (NSE:ELECTCAST) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

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NSEI:ELECTCAST

Electrosteel Castings (NSE:ELECTCAST) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 19% over the last month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Electrosteel Castings' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Electrosteel Castings

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Electrosteel Castings is:

14% = ₹7.4b ÷ ₹51b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.14 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Electrosteel Castings' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

When you first look at it, Electrosteel Castings' ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Moreover, we are quite pleased to see that Electrosteel Castings' net income grew significantly at a rate of 45% over the last five years. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Electrosteel Castings' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 22% in the same period, which is great to see.

NSEI:ELECTCAST Past Earnings Growth July 26th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Electrosteel Castings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Electrosteel Castings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Electrosteel Castings has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 13%, meaning that it has the remaining 87% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Electrosteel Castings is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Moreover, Electrosteel Castings is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 13%. As a result, Electrosteel Castings' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 17% for future ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Electrosteel Castings certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Electrosteel Castings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.