Stock Analysis

We Think Astral (NSE:ASTRAL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:ASTRAL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Astral Limited (NSE:ASTRAL) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Astral

What Is Astral's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Astral had ₹1.07b of debt, up from ₹774.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has ₹3.72b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹2.65b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ASTRAL Debt to Equity History December 10th 2024

How Healthy Is Astral's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Astral had liabilities of ₹10.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.76b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.72b in cash and ₹3.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹5.34b.

Having regard to Astral's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹497.1b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Astral also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

On the other hand, Astral saw its EBIT drop by 3.3% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Astral's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Astral may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Astral recorded free cash flow of 27% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Astral has ₹2.65b in net cash. So we are not troubled with Astral's debt use. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Astral insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.