Stock Analysis

Does Ashoka Buildcon (NSE:ASHOKA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:ASHOKA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Ashoka Buildcon Limited (NSE:ASHOKA) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ashoka Buildcon

How Much Debt Does Ashoka Buildcon Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ashoka Buildcon had ₹57.4b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹5.12b, its net debt is less, at about ₹52.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ASHOKA Debt to Equity History January 9th 2021

How Strong Is Ashoka Buildcon's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ashoka Buildcon had liabilities of ₹43.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹86.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹5.12b as well as receivables valued at ₹22.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹102.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹26.7b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Ashoka Buildcon would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Ashoka Buildcon's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.5) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.3, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Ashoka Buildcon improved its EBIT by 2.5% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ashoka Buildcon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Ashoka Buildcon's free cash flow amounted to 27% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Mulling over Ashoka Buildcon's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Ashoka Buildcon to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Ashoka Buildcon (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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