Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think IDFC First Bank (NSE:IDFCFIRSTB) Is Well Worth Watching

NSEI:IDFCFIRSTB
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like IDFC First Bank (NSE:IDFCFIRSTB), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

Check out our latest analysis for IDFC First Bank

IDFC First Bank's Improving Profits

IDFC First Bank has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. In impressive fashion, IDFC First Bank's EPS grew from ₹1.99 to ₹3.87, over the previous 12 months. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 94%. That could be a sign that the business has reached a true inflection point.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. It's noted that IDFC First Bank's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. IDFC First Bank maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 41% to ₹168b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:IDFCFIRSTB Earnings and Revenue History October 17th 2023

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for IDFC First Bank's future profits.

Are IDFC First Bank Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a ₹636b company like IDFC First Bank. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Given insiders own a significant chunk of shares, currently valued at ₹5.2b, they have plenty of motivation to push the business to succeed. That's certainly enough to let shareholders know that management will be very focussed on long term growth.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to IDFC First Bank, with market caps between ₹333b and ₹999b, is around ₹58m.

IDFC First Bank offered total compensation worth ₹45m to its CEO in the year to March 2023. That seems pretty reasonable, especially given it's below the median for similar sized companies. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add IDFC First Bank To Your Watchlist?

IDFC First Bank's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bucket-load of shares, and the CEO pay seems really quite reasonable. The drastic earnings growth indicates the business is going from strength to strength. Hopefully a trend that continues well into the future. Big growth can make big winners, so the writing on the wall tells us that IDFC First Bank is worth considering carefully. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for IDFC First Bank you should know about.

Although IDFC First Bank certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.