ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited

NSEI:ZFCVINDIA Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹259.6b

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Valuation

Is ZFCVINDIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZFCVINDIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZFCVINDIA (₹13687.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹1734.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZFCVINDIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZFCVINDIA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ZFCVINDIA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA45x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZFCVINDIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZFCVINDIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average73.1x
532605 JBM Auto
148.9x66.5%₹225.1b
ENDURANCE Endurance Technologies
45.9x21.2%₹278.3b
SUNDRMFAST Sundram Fasteners
45.6x20.0%₹234.7b
MSUMI Motherson Sumi Wiring India
52.2x23.6%₹305.3b
ZFCVINDIA ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India
63.7x18.7%₹259.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZFCVINDIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.7x) compared to the peer average (73.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZFCVINDIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZFCVINDIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.7x) compared to the Indian Auto Components industry average (31.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZFCVINDIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZFCVINDIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio63.7x
Fair PE Ratio32.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZFCVINDIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZFCVINDIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹13,687.70
₹16,362.40
+19.5%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Apr ’25₹15,276.65
₹16,362.40
+7.1%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Mar ’25₹14,827.75
₹16,362.40
+10.3%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Feb ’25₹15,423.25
₹16,197.00
+5.0%
8.2%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a4
Jan ’25₹16,307.05
₹16,768.25
+2.8%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00n/a4
Dec ’24₹16,145.20
₹16,768.25
+3.9%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00n/a4
Nov ’24₹15,452.35
₹16,768.25
+8.5%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00n/a4
Oct ’24₹15,550.70
₹14,570.00
-6.3%
13.9%₹17,970.00₹12,810.00n/a4
Sep ’24₹14,807.90
₹13,136.00
-11.3%
9.2%₹14,370.00₹11,000.00n/a5
Aug ’24₹13,780.05
₹13,136.00
-4.7%
9.2%₹14,370.00₹11,000.00n/a5
Jul ’24₹12,162.45
₹11,324.40
-6.9%
3.3%₹11,817.00₹10,807.00n/a5
Jun ’24₹10,535.95
₹11,343.00
+7.7%
3.0%₹11,817.00₹10,900.00n/a5
May ’24₹10,208.05
₹11,046.80
+8.2%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹13,687.705
Apr ’24₹10,408.85
₹11,046.80
+6.1%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹15,276.655
Mar ’24₹10,456.55
₹11,046.80
+5.6%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹14,827.755
Feb ’24₹9,305.00
₹11,079.20
+19.1%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹15,423.255
Jan ’24₹8,960.65
₹11,079.20
+23.6%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹16,307.055
Dec ’23₹9,471.05
₹11,079.20
+17.0%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹16,145.205
Nov ’23₹10,257.35
₹10,154.20
-1.0%
10.0%₹12,160.00₹9,388.00₹15,452.355
Oct ’23₹9,945.25
₹10,154.20
+2.1%
10.0%₹12,160.00₹9,388.00₹15,550.705
Sep ’23₹9,462.30
₹9,828.20
+3.9%
3.9%₹10,530.00₹9,388.00₹14,807.905
Aug ’23₹8,723.85
₹9,400.00
+7.8%
3.7%₹9,804.00₹8,857.00₹13,780.055
Jul ’23₹7,729.40
₹9,267.20
+19.9%
2.9%₹9,582.00₹8,857.00₹12,162.455
Jun ’23₹7,503.65
₹9,267.20
+23.5%
2.9%₹9,582.00₹8,857.00₹10,535.955
May ’23₹7,794.60
₹9,433.60
+21.0%
8.2%₹10,656.00₹8,225.00₹10,208.055

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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