MRF Valuation

Is MRF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MRF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MRF (₹123510) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹64531.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MRF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MRF?

Key metric: As MRF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MRF. This is calculated by dividing MRF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MRF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.9x
Earnings₹19.48b
Market Cap₹521.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MRF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MRF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
502355 Balkrishna Industries
32.3x14.7%₹535.1b
APOLLOTYRE Apollo Tyres
21.1x17.8%₹308.8b
20.1x19.5%₹114.3b
530007 JK Tyre & Industries
13.5x18.6%₹104.2b
MRF MRF
26.9x10.8%₹521.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MRF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MRF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Auto Components Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
513262 Steel Strips Wheels
4.8x-31.3%US$384.06m
INNOVATIVE Innovative Tyres & Tubes
0.3xn/aUS$1.22m
505100 India Radiators
0.8xn/aUS$94.74k
523415 Coventry Coil-O-Matic (Haryana)
0.9xn/aUS$88.40k
No more companies available in this PE range
MRF 26.9xIndustry Avg. 30.9xNo. of Companies17PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MRF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the Indian Auto Components industry average (30.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MRF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MRF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.9x
Fair PE Ratio28.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MRF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MRF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹123,510.00
₹118,507.00
-4.1%
17.8%₹160,000.00₹92,500.00n/a9
Nov ’25₹123,330.30
₹112,271.11
-9.0%
13.2%₹141,052.00₹92,500.00n/a9
Oct ’25₹140,262.90
₹112,063.89
-20.1%
13.3%₹141,052.00₹92,500.00n/a9
Sep ’25₹134,833.45
₹112,063.89
-16.9%
13.3%₹141,052.00₹92,500.00n/a9
Aug ’25₹140,266.15
₹108,631.11
-22.6%
15.0%₹141,082.00₹87,000.00n/a9
Jul ’25₹129,667.95
₹107,553.33
-17.1%
15.8%₹141,082.00₹87,000.00n/a9
Jun ’25₹125,431.50
₹107,553.33
-14.3%
15.8%₹141,082.00₹87,000.00n/a9
May ’25₹133,019.45
₹116,299.00
-12.6%
18.1%₹149,209.00₹90,000.00n/a9
Apr ’25₹135,719.35
₹113,147.44
-16.6%
16.7%₹149,209.00₹90,000.00n/a9
Mar ’25₹145,186.00
₹113,147.44
-22.1%
16.7%₹149,209.00₹90,000.00n/a9
Feb ’25₹142,477.80
₹103,562.67
-27.3%
15.5%₹126,000.00₹77,500.00n/a9
Jan ’25₹129,423.55
₹98,481.38
-23.9%
14.7%₹118,500.00₹77,500.00n/a8
Dec ’24₹111,409.30
₹96,110.11
-13.7%
15.5%₹118,500.00₹77,500.00n/a9
Nov ’24₹108,583.80
₹93,245.67
-14.1%
13.7%₹118,391.00₹77,250.00₹123,330.309
Oct ’24₹107,295.60
₹93,023.44
-13.3%
13.7%₹118,391.00₹77,250.00₹140,262.909
Sep ’24₹107,984.15
₹93,279.00
-13.6%
13.8%₹118,391.00₹77,250.00₹134,833.459
Aug ’24₹103,285.75
₹82,562.78
-20.1%
14.2%₹101,525.00₹66,000.00₹140,266.159
Jul ’24₹101,260.50
₹82,273.89
-18.8%
14.4%₹101,525.00₹66,000.00₹129,667.959
Jun ’24₹97,567.30
₹81,187.22
-16.8%
15.5%₹101,525.00₹66,000.00₹125,431.509
May ’24₹89,006.80
₹74,468.44
-16.3%
11.2%₹92,596.00₹63,000.00₹133,019.459
Apr ’24₹84,047.20
₹74,801.78
-11.0%
11.1%₹92,596.00₹63,000.00₹135,719.359
Mar ’24₹86,068.60
₹74,801.78
-13.1%
11.1%₹92,596.00₹63,000.00₹145,186.009
Feb ’24₹91,961.45
₹75,071.75
-18.4%
11.0%₹89,153.00₹66,000.00₹142,477.808
Jan ’24₹88,535.45
₹74,842.50
-15.5%
11.0%₹89,153.00₹66,000.00₹129,423.558
Dec ’23₹94,325.50
₹74,842.50
-20.7%
11.0%₹89,153.00₹66,000.00₹111,409.308
Nov ’23₹90,830.20
₹70,832.89
-22.0%
13.3%₹89,288.00₹60,000.00₹108,583.809

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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