With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.3x MRF Limited (NSE:MRF) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 61x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
MRF could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for MRF
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MRF.Is There Any Growth For MRF?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like MRF's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 15% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.2% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why MRF is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of MRF's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for MRF with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on MRF, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MRF
MRF
Engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of rubber products in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.