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Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On MRF Limited's (NSE:MRF) Second-Quarter Report
As you might know, MRF Limited (NSE:MRF) recently reported its second-quarter numbers. Revenues came in 4.1% below expectations, at ₹74b. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of ₹4,408 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Following the latest results, MRF's eight analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹302.6b in 2026. This would be an okay 3.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 19% to ₹5,193. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹305.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹5,503 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.
See our latest analysis for MRF
The consensus price target held steady at ₹145,126, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values MRF at ₹178,536 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹105,820. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that MRF's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.8% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 13% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 9.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that MRF is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for MRF going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MRF
MRF
Engages in the manufacture and sale of rubber products in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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