Stock Analysis

Lumax Industries (NSE:LUMAXIND) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ₹7.00

NSEI:LUMAXIND
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The board of Lumax Industries Limited (NSE:LUMAXIND) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 30th of September to ₹7.00. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 0.4% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Lumax Industries

Lumax Industries' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. However, prior to this announcement, Lumax Industries' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. If the dividend extends its recent trend, estimates say the dividend could reach 10%, which we would be comfortable to see continuing.

historic-dividend
NSEI:LUMAXIND Historic Dividend August 4th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from ₹6.00 to ₹7.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.6% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 19% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Our Thoughts On Lumax Industries' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Lumax Industries' payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Lumax Industries has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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