ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited

BSE:533023 Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹274.0b

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Valuation

Is 533023 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 533023 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 533023 (₹14418.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹1894.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 533023 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 533023?

Key metric: As 533023 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 533023. This is calculated by dividing 533023's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 533023's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio66.9x
Earnings₹4.10b
Market Cap₹273.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 533023's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 533023 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.9x
520056 TVS Holdings
26.8xn/a₹233.4b
ENDURANCE Endurance Technologies
43.2x20.4%₹332.3b
SUNDRMFAST Sundram Fasteners
44.3x21.7%₹242.0b
MSUMI Motherson Sumi Wiring India
41.4x18.9%₹273.4b
533023 ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India
66.9x20.7%₹274.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 533023 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.9x) compared to the peer average (38.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 533023's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Auto Components Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
513262 Steel Strips Wheels
4.8x-31.3%US$379.76m
INNOVATIVE Innovative Tyres & Tubes
0.3xn/aUS$1.22m
505100 India Radiators
0.8xn/aUS$94.64k
523415 Coventry Coil-O-Matic (Haryana)
0.9xn/aUS$88.40k
No more companies available in this PE range
533023 66.9xIndustry Avg. 30.8xNo. of Companies17PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 533023 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.9x) compared to the Indian Auto Components industry average (30.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 533023's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

533023 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio66.9x
Fair PE Ratio35.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 533023 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 533023 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹14,418.10
₹17,275.50
+19.8%
4.1%₹18,017.00₹16,130.00n/a4
Nov ’25₹14,413.25
₹17,509.25
+21.5%
4.4%₹18,400.00₹16,365.00n/a4
Oct ’25₹16,049.95
₹16,800.00
+4.7%
9.4%₹18,400.00₹13,963.00n/a5
Sep ’25₹15,589.65
₹16,800.00
+7.8%
9.4%₹18,400.00₹13,963.00n/a5
Aug ’25₹15,869.85
₹16,800.00
+5.9%
9.4%₹18,400.00₹13,963.00n/a5
Jul ’25₹16,024.30
₹16,742.00
+4.5%
7.7%₹18,017.00₹14,258.00n/a5
Jun ’25₹17,420.65
₹16,543.40
-5.0%
7.0%₹17,300.00₹14,258.00n/a5
May ’25₹13,749.30
₹16,362.40
+19.0%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Apr ’25₹15,190.30
₹16,362.40
+7.7%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Mar ’25₹14,843.40
₹16,362.40
+10.2%
7.5%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a5
Feb ’25₹15,458.25
₹16,197.00
+4.8%
8.2%₹17,255.00₹14,003.00n/a4
Jan ’25₹16,295.55
₹16,768.25
+2.9%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00n/a4
Dec ’24₹16,052.95
₹16,768.25
+4.5%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00n/a4
Nov ’24₹15,412.85
₹16,768.25
+8.8%
6.5%₹17,700.00₹14,903.00₹14,413.254
Oct ’24₹15,536.45
₹14,570.00
-6.2%
13.9%₹17,970.00₹12,810.00₹16,049.954
Sep ’24₹14,807.25
₹13,136.00
-11.3%
9.2%₹14,370.00₹11,000.00₹15,589.655
Aug ’24₹13,721.20
₹13,136.00
-4.3%
9.2%₹14,370.00₹11,000.00₹15,869.855
Jul ’24₹12,187.30
₹11,324.40
-7.1%
3.3%₹11,817.00₹10,807.00₹16,024.305
Jun ’24₹10,549.00
₹11,343.00
+7.5%
3.0%₹11,817.00₹10,900.00₹17,420.655
May ’24₹10,222.75
₹11,046.80
+8.1%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹13,749.305
Apr ’24₹10,379.40
₹11,046.80
+6.4%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹15,190.305
Mar ’24₹10,457.30
₹11,046.80
+5.6%
3.7%₹11,817.00₹10,625.00₹14,843.405
Feb ’24₹9,301.50
₹11,079.20
+19.1%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹15,458.255
Jan ’24₹8,945.00
₹11,079.20
+23.9%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹16,295.555
Dec ’23₹9,508.20
₹11,079.20
+16.5%
6.6%₹12,160.00₹10,180.00₹16,052.955
Nov ’23₹10,251.45
₹10,154.20
-0.9%
10.0%₹12,160.00₹9,388.00₹15,412.855

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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