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Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For NextVision Stabilized Systems (TLV:NXSN)
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd.'s (TLV:NXSN) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
Zooming In On NextVision Stabilized Systems' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
NextVision Stabilized Systems has an accrual ratio of 1.15 for the year to June 2025. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$48m, which is significantly less than its profit of US$79.8m. We note, however, that NextVision Stabilized Systems grew its free cash flow over the last year.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of NextVision Stabilized Systems.
Our Take On NextVision Stabilized Systems' Profit Performance
As we discussed above, we think NextVision Stabilized Systems' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that NextVision Stabilized Systems' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NextVision Stabilized Systems (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of NextVision Stabilized Systems' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NextVision Stabilized Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:NXSN
NextVision Stabilized Systems
Develops, manufactures, and markets stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
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