Stock Analysis

Here's Why Alrov Properties and Lodgings (TLV:ALRPR) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TASE:ALRPR
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alrov Properties and Lodgings Ltd. (TLV:ALRPR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Alrov Properties and Lodgings

What Is Alrov Properties and Lodgings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Alrov Properties and Lodgings had ₪8.06b of debt, up from ₪7.58b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪802.1m, its net debt is less, at about ₪7.26b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ALRPR Debt to Equity History November 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is Alrov Properties and Lodgings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alrov Properties and Lodgings had liabilities of ₪2.04b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪7.50b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪802.1m and ₪108.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪8.64b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪4.45b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Alrov Properties and Lodgings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Alrov Properties and Lodgings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (20.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. On the other hand, Alrov Properties and Lodgings grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Alrov Properties and Lodgings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Alrov Properties and Lodgings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Alrov Properties and Lodgings's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Alrov Properties and Lodgings's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Alrov Properties and Lodgings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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