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Investors Could Be Concerned With Tamar Petroleum's (TLV:TMRP) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Tamar Petroleum (TLV:TMRP) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Tamar Petroleum is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = US$149m ÷ (US$1.3b - US$105m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Tamar Petroleum has an ROCE of 12%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 13% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Tamar Petroleum
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Tamar Petroleum has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Tamar Petroleum's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Tamar Petroleum doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 12% from 24% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Bottom Line
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Tamar Petroleum's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last three years have experienced a 61% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tamar Petroleum (of which 1 is concerning!) that you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About TASE:TMRP
Tamar Petroleum
Engages in the exploration, development, production, marketing, and transmission of natural gas and condensate in Israel.
Proven track record and fair value.