Stock Analysis

Does Electra Consumer Products (1970) (TLV:ECP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TASE:ECP
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Electra Consumer Products (1970) Ltd (TLV:ECP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Electra Consumer Products (1970)

What Is Electra Consumer Products (1970)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Electra Consumer Products (1970) had debt of ₪1.05b, up from ₪565.2m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₪498.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪549.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ECP Debt to Equity History January 12th 2023

How Strong Is Electra Consumer Products (1970)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Electra Consumer Products (1970) had liabilities of ₪2.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪2.78b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪498.1m in cash and ₪815.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪4.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪2.48b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Electra Consumer Products (1970) would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Electra Consumer Products (1970) has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.5, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.9. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Sadly, Electra Consumer Products (1970)'s EBIT actually dropped 7.4% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Electra Consumer Products (1970) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Electra Consumer Products (1970) recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Electra Consumer Products (1970)'s interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Electra Consumer Products (1970)'s balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Electra Consumer Products (1970) is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Electra Consumer Products (1970) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.