Stock Analysis

Duniec Bros. Ltd's (TLV:DUNI) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

TASE:DUNI
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Duniec Bros. Ltd's (TLV:DUNI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Consumer Durables industry in Israel have P/S ratios below 1x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Duniec Bros

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TASE:DUNI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024

What Does Duniec Bros' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Duniec Bros recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Duniec Bros, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Duniec Bros' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Duniec Bros' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 36% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 8.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Duniec Bros is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Duniec Bros currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Duniec Bros (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.