Stock Analysis

Is Brill Shoe Industries (TLV:BRIL) A Risky Investment?

TASE:BRIL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Brill Shoe Industries Ltd. (TLV:BRIL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Brill Shoe Industries

What Is Brill Shoe Industries's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Brill Shoe Industries had debt of ₪89.4m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from ₪123.2m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₪5.90m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪83.5m.

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TASE:BRIL Debt to Equity History January 11th 2022

A Look At Brill Shoe Industries' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Brill Shoe Industries had liabilities of ₪148.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪195.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪5.90m and ₪103.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪233.8m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₪201.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Brill Shoe Industries's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.4 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Notably, Brill Shoe Industries's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 3,943% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Brill Shoe Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Brill Shoe Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Brill Shoe Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Brill Shoe Industries is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Brill Shoe Industries .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.