Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shapir Engineering and Industry Ltd (TLV:SPEN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Shapir Engineering and Industry
What Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Shapir Engineering and Industry had ₪7.38b of debt, up from ₪5.23b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪1.19b in cash leading to net debt of about ₪6.19b.
How Healthy Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shapir Engineering and Industry had liabilities of ₪3.13b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪6.95b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪1.19b as well as receivables valued at ₪1.91b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪6.98b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₪9.46b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Shapir Engineering and Industry shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.8 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even more troubling is the fact that Shapir Engineering and Industry actually let its EBIT decrease by 5.7% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shapir Engineering and Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Shapir Engineering and Industry created free cash flow amounting to 7.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Shapir Engineering and Industry's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Shapir Engineering and Industry to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shapir Engineering and Industry (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:SPEN
Shapir Engineering and Industry
Engages in the construction, engineering, and infrastructure businesses in Israel.
Slight and slightly overvalued.