Does Arad Investment & Industrial Development (TLV:ARAD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Arad Investment & Industrial Development Ltd. (TLV:ARAD) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Arad Investment & Industrial Development
What Is Arad Investment & Industrial Development's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Arad Investment & Industrial Development had ₪3.86b of debt, up from ₪3.32b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₪1.37b in cash, and so its net debt is ₪2.50b.
How Strong Is Arad Investment & Industrial Development's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Arad Investment & Industrial Development had liabilities of ₪1.51b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪4.16b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪1.37b and ₪854.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪3.45b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₪2.32b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Arad Investment & Industrial Development's debt is 4.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 6.0 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. We note that Arad Investment & Industrial Development grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Arad Investment & Industrial Development will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Arad Investment & Industrial Development recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 94% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about Arad Investment & Industrial Development's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Arad Investment & Industrial Development is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Arad Investment & Industrial Development is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TASE:ARAD
Arad Investment & Industrial Development
Engages in the real estate, technology, software, outsourcing, human resources, and investment businesses.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.