The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Dalata Hotel Group plc (ISE:DHG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Dalata Hotel Group
What Is Dalata Hotel Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Dalata Hotel Group had €347.4m of debt in June 2021, down from €451.6m, one year before. On the flip side, it has €40.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €306.5m.
A Look At Dalata Hotel Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dalata Hotel Group had liabilities of €68.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €785.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €40.9m and €12.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €801.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €840.2m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dalata Hotel Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Dalata Hotel Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €96m, which is a fall of 69%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Dalata Hotel Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €39m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of €68m into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Dalata Hotel Group's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ISE:DHG
Dalata Hotel Group
Owns, leases, and manages hotels under the Maldron Hotels and Clayton Hotels brand names in Dublin, Regional Ireland, the United Kingdom, and Continental Europe.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.