Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 08
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19% After last week's 19% share price decline to Rp520, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 58% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp808 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 26
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 47% to Rp650. The fair value is estimated to be Rp829, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 7.5% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 59%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 19% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 41% in the next 2 years. Price Target Changed • May 20
Price target decreased by 14% to Rp1,457 Down from Rp1,703, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 111% above last closing price of Rp690. Stock is down 2.1% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp135 for next year compared to Rp113 last year. Announcement • May 12
PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 17, 2026 PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 17, 2026. Reported Earnings • Apr 29
First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: Rp26.68 (vs Rp27.57 in 1Q 2025) First quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp26.68 (down from Rp27.57 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: Rp1.54t (up 11% from 1Q 2025). Net income: Rp98.5b (down 3.2% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 6.4% (down from 7.3% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.7% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 3.3% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 59% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 14
Now 22% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to Rp910. The fair value is estimated to be Rp747, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.5% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 59%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 19% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 42% in the next 2 years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 30
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20% After last week's 20% share price decline to Rp825, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 19% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp766 per share. Reported Earnings • Mar 19
Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2025 results: EPS: Rp113 (up from Rp66.04 in FY 2024). Revenue: Rp5.99t (up 21% from FY 2024). Net income: Rp417.7b (up 71% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.0% (up from 4.9% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 4.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 3.2% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 59% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 04
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to Rp1,000, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 41% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp811 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 27
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21% After last week's 21% share price gain to Rp1,100, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 1.5% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Oct 24
Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: Rp38.84 (vs Rp22.83 in 3Q 2024) Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: Rp38.84 (up from Rp22.83 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: Rp1.58t (up 24% from 3Q 2024). Net income: Rp143.4b (up 70% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (up from 6.6% in 3Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 45% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Board Change • Oct 24
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 5 experienced directors. 3 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (4 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner Shanti Poesposoetjipto was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Announcement • May 17
PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025 PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025. Reported Earnings • Jul 30
Second quarter 2024 earnings released Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp15.55. Net income: Rp57.4b (up Rp57.4b from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.7% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 8% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 32% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. New Risk • Jul 09
New minor risk - Dividend sustainability The company has an unstable dividend paying track record. The dividend has had an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Dividend yield: 2.8% This is considered a minor risk. If the company has cut or reduced its dividend in the past, it may be a sign that the underlying business is too cyclical to consistently maintain or grow the dividend over the long-term. It may also indicate the company prioritizes other outcomes instead of maintaining the dividend. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.6x net interest cover). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding). Announcement • May 22
PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2024 PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2024. Reported Earnings • May 02
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp19.24 (vs Rp14.54 in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp19.24 (up from Rp14.54 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: Rp1.18t (up 3.1% from 1Q 2023). Net income: Rp71.0b (up 37% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 4.5% in 1Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.1% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 28% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Apr 02
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: EPS: Rp28.68. Revenue: Rp4.44t (down 24% from FY 2022). Net income: Rp103.8b (flat on FY 2022). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 1.8% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.5% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 5.7% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 29
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp965, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 80% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Aug 11
Price target increased by 20% to Rp1,857 Up from Rp1,546, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 67% above last closing price of Rp1,110. Stock is down 36% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp39.60 for next year compared to Rp28.89 last year. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp19.51 (vs Rp33.15 in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: EPS: Rp19.51 (down from Rp33.15 in 1H 2022). Revenue: Rp2.39t (down 25% from 1H 2022). Net income: Rp69.6b (down 39% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.9% (down from 3.6% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.7% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 07
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp1,280, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 205% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 09
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to Rp1,045, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 207% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 08
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20% After last week's 20% share price decline to Rp795, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 76% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,270 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 16
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to Rp1,000, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 82% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,397 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 26
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp850, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 44% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,009 per share. Buying Opportunity • Jan 05
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 47%. The fair value is estimated to be Rp917, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 26% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 78% in the next 2 years. Buying Opportunity • Dec 20
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 45%. The fair value is estimated to be Rp966, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 36% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 89% in the next 2 years. Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from Rp6.51b to Rp6.33b. EPS estimate also fell from Rp59.38 per share to Rp53.15 per share. Net income forecast to grow 28% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Transportation industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp2,411 to Rp1,878. Share price was steady at Rp875 over the past week. Buying Opportunity • Nov 22
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 39%. The fair value is estimated to be Rp1,146, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 46% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 108% in the next 2 years. Board Change • Nov 16
No independent directors There are 4 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, 2 were independent directors. The company's board is composed of: 4 new directors. 2 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (4 non-independent directors). Operational Director & Director Jany Candra is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2007. Independent Commissioner Shanti Poesposoetjipto was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Lack of experienced directors. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 07
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 18% share price decline to Rp975, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,147 per share. Reported Earnings • Nov 03
Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: Rp0.61 (vs Rp1.96 in 3Q 2021) Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: Rp0.61. Revenue: Rp1.46t (up 6.9% from 3Q 2021). Net income: Rp16.5b (up 117% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.1% (up from 0.6% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Asia. Buying Opportunity • Oct 28
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 32%. The fair value is estimated to be Rp1,446, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 38% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 48% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 125% in the next 2 years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 14
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to Rp1,100, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 39% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,028 per share. Price Target Changed • Sep 21
Price target decreased to Rp3,079 Down from Rp3,382, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 121% above last closing price of Rp1,395. Stock is down 61% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp67.22 for next year compared to Rp41.21 last year. Reported Earnings • Jul 31
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: Rp10.82 (vs Rp11.76 in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: Rp10.82. Revenue: Rp1.63t (up 43% from 2Q 2021). Net income: Rp41.8b (up 4.6% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 2.6% (down from 3.5% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 23%, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 04
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to Rp1,590, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 82% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp1,222 per share. Price Target Changed • May 31
Price target decreased to Rp3,846 Down from Rp4,168, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 73% above last closing price of Rp2,220. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp68.88 for next year compared to Rp41.21 last year. Major Estimate Revision • May 31
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 revenue forecast increased from Rp6.63b to Rp6.73b. EPS estimate fell from Rp89.77 to Rp68.88 per share. Net income forecast to grow 81% next year vs 22% growth forecast for Transportation industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp4,168 to Rp3,925. Share price rose 5.2% to Rp2,220 over the past week. Board Change • Apr 27
No independent directors Following the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Commissioner Lindawati Gani was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Apr 15
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2021 results: EPS: Rp41.21 (up from Rp25.65 in FY 2020). Revenue: Rp5.09t (up 68% from FY 2020). Net income: Rp142.6b (up 64% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 2.8% (down from 2.9% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 24%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 30%, compared to a 17% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 49% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 11
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to Rp2,280, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 192% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 08
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to Rp2,110, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 138% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Nov 17
Price target increased to Rp4,275 Up from Rp3,783, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 16% above last closing price of Rp3,680. Stock is up 601% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp43.56 for next year compared to Rp25.65 last year. Reported Earnings • Jul 04
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS Rp9.61 (vs Rp10.24 in 1Q 2020) The company reported a mediocre first quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues improved. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: Rp963.2b (up 37% from 1Q 2020). Net income: Rp32.7b (down 6.1% from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.4% (down from 5.0% in 1Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 106% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to Rp1,980, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 65x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 638% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 24
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 18% share price decline to Rp1,575, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 52x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 504% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 09
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 52% share price gain to Rp1,800, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 62.9x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 41.4x. This compares to an average P/E of 50x in the Transportation industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 590%. Price Target Changed • Mar 06
Price target raised to Rp906 Up from Rp403, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 37% below the current share price of Rp1,440. As of last close, the stock is up 174% over the past year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 20
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to Rp1,365, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 47.7x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 40.5x. This compares to an average P/E of 48x in the Transportation industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 488%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 18
New 90-day high: Rp1,300 The company is up 152% from its price of Rp515 on 20 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 43% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 04
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 24% share price gain to Rp1,000, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 34.9x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 28.1x. This compares to an average P/E of 29x in the Transportation industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 402%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 01
New 90-day high: Rp870 The company is up 76% from its price of Rp494 on 04 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 13% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 35% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 15
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp760, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.5x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 22.9x. This compares to an average P/E of 26x in the Transportation industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 289%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 11
New 90-day high: Rp730 The company is up 47% from its price of Rp496 on 14 October 2020. The Indonesian market is up 21% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 30% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 17
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 20% share price gain to Rp635, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 22.2x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 18.5x. This compares to an average P/E of 22x in the Transportation industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 215%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 14
New 90-day high: Rp570 The company is up 11% from its price of Rp515 on 16 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 16% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 16% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Sep 27
First half earnings released Over the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of Rp97.3b, down 22% from the prior year. Total revenue was Rp2.65t over the last 12 months, up 28% from the prior year.