Bukalapak.com Valuation

Is BUKA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUKA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BUKA (IDR121) is trading above our estimate of fair value (IDR73.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUKA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUKA?

Key metric: As BUKA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BUKA. This is calculated by dividing BUKA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BUKA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.8x
SalesRp4.50t
Market CapRp12.48t

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BUKA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BUKA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
MAPI PT. Mitra Adiperkasa
0.7x11.5%Rp26.2t
BELI Global Digital Niaga
3.7x24.8%Rp57.6t
LPPF Matahari Department Store
0.5x4.5%Rp3.2t
GOTO GoTo Gojek Tokopedia
5x10.9%Rp79.2t
BUKA Bukalapak.com
2.8x12.5%Rp12.5t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BUKA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BUKA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Multiline Retail Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BUKA 2.8xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies20PS00.81.62.43.24+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BUKA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the Asian Multiline Retail industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUKA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUKA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BUKA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUKA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp121.00
Rp193.80
+60.2%
41.5%Rp370.00Rp110.00n/a15
Nov ’25Rp125.00
Rp191.93
+53.5%
35.8%Rp340.00Rp110.00n/a14
Oct ’25Rp120.00
Rp203.59
+69.7%
31.4%Rp340.00Rp110.00n/a15
Sep ’25Rp117.00
Rp209.59
+79.1%
28.1%Rp340.00Rp122.00n/a15
Aug ’25Rp118.00
Rp216.93
+83.8%
24.4%Rp340.00Rp125.00n/a15
Jul ’25Rp135.00
Rp216.93
+60.7%
24.4%Rp340.00Rp125.00n/a15
Jun ’25Rp130.00
Rp222.93
+71.5%
25.2%Rp340.00Rp125.00n/a15
May ’25Rp130.00
Rp243.50
+87.3%
27.2%Rp360.00Rp125.00n/a14
Apr ’25Rp149.00
Rp260.07
+74.5%
22.4%Rp360.00Rp160.00n/a14
Mar ’25Rp156.00
Rp292.58
+87.6%
13.0%Rp360.00Rp232.00n/a12
Feb ’25Rp189.00
Rp298.54
+58.0%
14.0%Rp370.00Rp232.00n/a13
Jan ’25Rp216.00
Rp324.54
+50.2%
16.7%Rp450.00Rp250.00n/a13
Dec ’24Rp214.00
Rp324.54
+51.7%
16.7%Rp450.00Rp250.00n/a13
Nov ’24Rp198.00
Rp322.00
+62.6%
17.3%Rp450.00Rp250.00Rp125.0012
Oct ’24Rp218.00
Rp369.00
+69.3%
37.7%Rp800.00Rp250.00Rp120.0012
Sep ’24Rp234.00
Rp373.69
+59.7%
36.0%Rp800.00Rp250.00Rp117.0013
Aug ’24Rp220.00
Rp384.93
+75.0%
32.8%Rp800.00Rp250.00Rp118.0014
Jul ’24Rp212.00
Rp396.36
+87.0%
30.8%Rp800.00Rp250.00Rp135.0014
Jun ’24Rp212.00
Rp396.36
+87.0%
30.8%Rp800.00Rp250.00Rp130.0014
May ’24Rp236.00
Rp420.64
+78.2%
29.1%Rp800.00Rp320.00Rp130.0014
Apr ’24Rp248.00
Rp421.36
+69.9%
29.1%Rp800.00Rp320.00Rp149.0014
Mar ’24Rp258.00
Rp444.00
+72.1%
30.0%Rp800.00Rp320.00Rp156.0015
Feb ’24Rp282.00
Rp444.00
+57.4%
30.0%Rp800.00Rp320.00Rp189.0015
Jan ’24Rp262.00
Rp501.07
+91.2%
28.6%Rp800.00Rp324.00Rp216.0014
Dec ’23Rp280.00
Rp514.69
+83.8%
27.2%Rp800.00Rp340.00Rp214.0013
Nov ’23Rp274.00
Rp559.36
+104.1%
29.9%Rp900.00Rp340.00Rp198.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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