Autopedia Sukses Lestari Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ASLC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ASLC (IDR87) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (IDR168.37)

Is ASLC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASLC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASLC (IDR87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR168.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASLC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASLC?

Key metric: As ASLC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASLC. This is calculated by dividing ASLC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASLC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	21.2x
Earnings	Rp52.39b
Market Cap	Rp1.11t

ASLC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASLC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASLC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.2x
CARS Industri dan Perdagangan Bintraco Dharma	6.7x	n/a	Rp1.2t
PMJS Putra Mandiri Jembar	9.4x	n/a	Rp1.7t
IMAS Indomobil Sukses Internasional	12.5x	n/a	Rp4.1t
MPMX Mitra Pinasthika Mustika	8x	10.1%	Rp4.3t
ASLC Autopedia Sukses Lestari	21.2x	n/a	Rp1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASLC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the peer average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASLC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Specialty Retail Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASLC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the Asian Specialty Retail industry average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASLC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASLC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	21.2x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ASLC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASLC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Rp87.00	Rp175.00 +101.1%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Nov ’25	Rp99.00	Rp175.00 +76.8%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Oct ’25	Rp101.00	Rp175.00 +73.3%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Sep ’25	Rp103.00	Rp175.00 +69.9%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Aug ’25	Rp99.00	Rp175.00 +76.8%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Jul ’25	Rp79.00	Rp175.00 +121.5%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
Jun ’25	Rp88.00	Rp175.00 +98.9%	18.5%	Rp220.00	Rp145.00	n/a	3
May ’25	Rp94.00	Rp157.50 +67.6%	1.6%	Rp160.00	Rp155.00	n/a	2
Apr ’25	Rp103.00	Rp152.50 +48.1%	1.6%	Rp155.00	Rp150.00	n/a	2
Mar ’25	Rp105.00	Rp152.50 +45.2%	1.6%	Rp155.00	Rp150.00	n/a	2
Feb ’25	Rp92.00	Rp152.50 +65.8%	1.6%	Rp155.00	Rp150.00	n/a	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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