Charnic Capital Valuation

Is NICK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NICK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NICK (IDR640) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR994.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NICK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NICK?

Key metric: As NICK is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NICK. This is calculated by dividing NICK's market cap by their current book value.
What is NICK's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio2.4x
BookRp175.64b
Market CapRp416.74b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NICK's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NICK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
ROCK Rockfields Properti Indonesia
0.5xn/aRp399.0b
LPLI Star Pacific
0.2xn/aRp304.3b
MTSM Metro Realty
5.8xn/aRp177.0b
INDO Royalindo Investa Wijaya
0.5xn/aRp460.2b
NICK Charnic Capital
2.4xn/aRp416.7b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NICK is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NICK's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Real Estate Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GWSA Greenwood Sejahtera
0.1xn/aUS$64.87m
ELTY Bakrieland Development
0.1xn/aUS$35.64m
KOTA DMS Propertindo
0.08xn/aUS$5.98m
BAPI Bhakti Agung Propertindo
0.1xn/aUS$3.17m
NICK 2.4xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies19PB00.61.21.82.43+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NICK is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.4x) compared to the ID Real Estate industry average (0.5x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NICK's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NICK PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NICK's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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