Surya Citra Media Valuation

Is SCMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCMA (IDR129) is trading above our estimate of fair value (IDR105.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCMA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCMA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SCMA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.3x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCMA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
MNCN PT. Media Nusantara Citra
4.1x33.5%Rp4.0t
BMTR Global Mediacom
5.2xn/aRp3.6t
EMTK Elang Mahkota Teknologi
50.2x64.0%Rp22.4t
BHIT MNC Asia Holding
8.3xn/aRp1.8t
SCMA Surya Citra Media
17.8x23.7%Rp8.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCMA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCMA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the Asian Media industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCMA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCMA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SCMA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCMA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp129.00
Rp191.88
+48.7%
29.2%Rp325.00Rp120.00n/a8
Jun ’25Rp150.00
Rp191.88
+27.9%
29.2%Rp325.00Rp120.00n/a8
May ’25Rp129.00
Rp208.13
+61.3%
24.1%Rp325.00Rp160.00n/a8
Apr ’25Rp137.00
Rp208.13
+51.9%
24.1%Rp325.00Rp160.00n/a8
Mar ’25Rp152.00
Rp208.13
+36.9%
24.1%Rp325.00Rp160.00n/a8
Feb ’25Rp156.00
Rp208.13
+33.4%
24.1%Rp325.00Rp160.00n/a8
Jan ’25Rp170.00
Rp216.88
+27.6%
32.1%Rp325.00Rp130.00n/a8
Dec ’24Rp153.00
Rp211.33
+38.1%
31.9%Rp325.00Rp130.00n/a9
Nov ’24Rp149.00
Rp217.75
+46.1%
31.6%Rp325.00Rp130.00n/a8
Oct ’24Rp158.00
Rp217.75
+37.8%
31.6%Rp325.00Rp130.00n/a8
Sep ’24Rp153.00
Rp217.75
+42.3%
31.6%Rp325.00Rp130.00n/a8
Aug ’24Rp143.00
Rp264.11
+84.7%
29.4%Rp370.00Rp130.00n/a9
Jul ’24Rp162.00
Rp270.22
+66.8%
28.6%Rp370.00Rp130.00n/a9
Jun ’24Rp138.00
Rp283.56
+105.5%
26.8%Rp370.00Rp130.00Rp150.009
May ’24Rp165.00
Rp335.00
+103.0%
22.7%Rp500.00Rp220.00Rp129.008
Apr ’24Rp188.00
Rp339.38
+80.5%
23.0%Rp500.00Rp220.00Rp137.008
Mar ’24Rp214.00
Rp332.78
+55.5%
22.8%Rp500.00Rp220.00Rp152.009
Feb ’24Rp234.00
Rp334.50
+42.9%
21.6%Rp500.00Rp220.00Rp156.0010
Jan ’24Rp206.00
Rp336.50
+63.3%
20.6%Rp500.00Rp240.00Rp170.0010
Dec ’23Rp242.00
Rp337.69
+39.5%
21.5%Rp500.00Rp225.00Rp153.0013
Nov ’23Rp242.00
Rp356.07
+47.1%
23.2%Rp500.00Rp225.00Rp149.0014
Oct ’23Rp206.00
Rp356.07
+72.9%
23.2%Rp500.00Rp225.00Rp158.0014
Sep ’23Rp224.00
Rp388.46
+73.4%
23.2%Rp565.00Rp225.00Rp153.0013
Aug ’23Rp228.00
Rp399.29
+75.1%
23.9%Rp565.00Rp225.00Rp143.0014
Jul ’23Rp206.00
Rp399.29
+93.8%
23.9%Rp565.00Rp225.00Rp162.0014
Jun ’23Rp224.00
Rp416.00
+85.7%
22.4%Rp565.00Rp225.00Rp138.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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