Suparma Valuation

Is SPMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPMA (IDR300) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR1445.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPMA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPMA?

Key metric: As SPMA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPMA. This is calculated by dividing SPMA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPMA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.3x
EarningsRp149.80b
Market CapRp946.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPMA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
TKIM Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia
8.8xn/aRp19.6t
INKP Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper
7.9x36.4%Rp39.5t
WTON Wijaya Karya Beton
21.3xn/aRp810.5b
IPOL Indopoly Swakarsa Industry
65.1xn/aRp811.9b
SPMA Suparma
6.3xn/aRp946.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPMA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Forestry Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPMA 6.3xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies30PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.3x) compared to the Asian Forestry industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPMA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPMA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPMA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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