Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • 20h
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to Rp6,500, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 3x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Announcement • May 14
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026. Reported Earnings • May 05
First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.029 (vs US$0.026 in 1Q 2025) First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$0.029 (up from US$0.026 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$816.3m (up 4.3% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$156.1m (up 11% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 23% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.9% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 17% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 9% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Reported Earnings • Mar 19
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$0.083 (up from US$0.078 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$3.17b (flat on FY 2024). Net income: US$453.3m (up 6.8% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 14% (in line with FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 5.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 9% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Price Target Changed • Feb 28
Price target increased by 7.2% to Rp11,487 Up from Rp10,711, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of Rp11,600. Stock is up 147% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$0.07 for next year compared to US$0.078 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 25
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22% After last week's 22% share price gain to Rp12,000, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 53% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 02
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22% After last week's 22% share price decline to Rp8,200, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 2.9% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 07
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to Rp9,825, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 17% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Dec 13
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.03 (up from US$0.01 loss in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$799.4m (down 2.3% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$162.2m (up US$214.9m from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 20% (up from net loss in 3Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 84%. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.0% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 29% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 6% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 28
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to Rp8,775, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 9.7% over the past three years. Board Change • Oct 24
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. No experienced directors. 12 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner Pande Raka was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2007. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Announcement • May 09
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2025 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2025. Location: jakarta Indonesia Reported Earnings • Nov 03
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.01 loss per share (vs US$0.01 profit in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: US$0.01 loss per share (down from US$0.01 profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$817.8m (up 8.2% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: US$52.7m (down 201% from profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 3% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 02
Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.027 (vs US$0.025 in 2Q 2023) Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.027 (up from US$0.025 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$797.6m (down 8.8% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$148.0m (up 9.4% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 19% (up from 16% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 23% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat whereas the company’s share price has increased by 5% per year. Reported Earnings • Jun 16
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.024 (vs US$0.024 in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.024 (in line with 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$805.2m (down 24% from 1Q 2023). Net income: US$130.8m (down 1.8% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (up from 13% in 1Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 20% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 12% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • May 15
PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024 PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024. New Risk • Apr 03
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 12% Last year net profit margin: 21% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.01 (vs US$0.046 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.01 (down from US$0.046 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$756.1m (down 28% from 3Q 2022). Net income: US$52.4m (down 79% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 6.9% (down from 24% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 03
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to Rp8,475, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Oct 05
Price target increased by 36% to Rp13,500 Up from Rp9,900, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 34% above last closing price of Rp10,100. Stock is up 7.7% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$0.16 for next year compared to US$0.16 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 05
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 14% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has improved. 2023 revenue forecast increased from US$3.67m to US$4.16m. EPS estimate increased from US$0.116 to US$0.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 19% next year vs 44% growth forecast for Forestry industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp9,900 to Rp13,500. Share price fell 11% to Rp10,100 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 13
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to Rp10,575, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 05
Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.025 (vs US$0.04 in 2Q 2022) Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.025 (down from US$0.04 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: US$874.8m (down 7.5% from 2Q 2022). Net income: US$135.3m (down 38% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 16% (down from 23% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Asia are expected to grow by 7.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • May 09
First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.024 (vs US$0.032 in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.024 (down from US$0.032 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$1.06b (up 6.1% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$133.2m (down 25% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 13% (down from 18% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.9% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Asia are expected to grow by 8.6%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 11% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Mar 16
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$0.16 (up from US$0.096 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$4.00b (up 14% from FY 2021). Net income: US$857.5m (up 63% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 21% (up from 15% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 11%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 32%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.0% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Asia are expected to grow by 8.2%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 38% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Board Change • Nov 16
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 5 experienced directors. 7 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner Pande Raka was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2007. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 08
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to Rp9,675, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 5.5x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Forestry industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders of 39% over the past three years. Board Change • Apr 27
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 4 experienced directors. 8 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner Deddy Saleh was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Reported Earnings • Apr 06
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: EPS: US$0.096 (up from US$0.054 in FY 2020). Revenue: US$3.52b (up 18% from FY 2020). Net income: US$527.1m (up 79% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 15% (up from 9.8% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 21%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 2.3% compared to a 21% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 2% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 25
Consensus EPS estimates increase to US$0.08 The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from US$3.24m to US$3.28m. EPS estimate increased from US$0.069 to US$0.08 per share. Net income forecast to grow 19% next year vs 15% growth forecast for Forestry industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp9,475 to Rp10,000. Share price was steady at Rp8,425 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 30
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 20% share price gain to Rp8,575, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 39% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 30
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to Rp7,450, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11.2x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Forestry industry in Indonesia. Total loss to shareholders of 59% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Jun 27
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.025 (vs US$0.033 in 1Q 2020) The company reported a soft first quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues improved. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$801.3m (up 2.7% from 1Q 2020). Net income: US$139.3m (down 22% from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 17% (down from 23% in 1Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 28% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 22
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 15% share price decline to US$8,550, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Forestry industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 45% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp7,264 per share. Price Target Changed • May 21
Price target decreased to Rp9,875 Down from Rp14,550, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 11% above last closing price of Rp8,875. Stock is up 81% over the past year. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 04
New 90-day high: Rp14,675 The company is up 51% from its price of Rp9,700 on 06 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 66% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp7,010 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 13
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to US$13,425, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 16x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 13.6x. This compares to an average P/E of 15x in the Forestry industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 106%. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 08
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 20% share price gain to US$12,500, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 15x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 12.5x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Forestry industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 120%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 07
New 90-day high: Rp11,425 The company is up 29% from its price of Rp8,850 on 09 October 2020. The Indonesian market is up 19% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 35% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp6,937 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 10
Market bids up stock over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to US$11,075, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 13.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 11.4x. This compares to an average P/E of 13x in the Forestry industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 118%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 08
New 90-day high: Rp10,600 The company is up 21% from its price of Rp8,775 on 09 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 9.0% over the same period. Price Target Changed • Dec 03
Price target raised to Rp15,575 Up from Rp14,550, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 65% above the current share price of Rp9,425. As of last close, the stock is up 23% over the past year. Reported Earnings • Nov 18
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS US$0.015 The company reported a soft third quarter result with weaker earnings and revenues, although profit margins were improved. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: US$707.8m (down 21% from 3Q 2019). Net income: US$84.2m (down 7.7% from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 12% (up from 10% in 3Q 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.