PT. Indika Energy Valuation

Is INDY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INDY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INDY (IDR1415) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR3751.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INDY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INDY?

Key metric: As INDY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for INDY. This is calculated by dividing INDY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is INDY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.7x
Earnings	US$60.25m
Market Cap	US$463.77m

INDY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.4x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INDY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INDY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	5.9x
ABMM ABM Investama	3.5x	n/a	Rp9.8t
TOBA TBS Energi Utama	7.1x	n/a	Rp4.0t
MYOH Samindo Resources	8.3x	n/a	Rp3.3t
BSSR Baramulti Suksessarana	4.8x	n/a	Rp11.2t
INDY PT. Indika Energy	7.7x	n/a	Rp7.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INDY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INDY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Oil and Gas Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
CNKO Exploitasi Energi Indonesia	1.7x	n/a	US$3.95m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INDY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the ID Oil and Gas industry average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INDY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INDY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate INDY's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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