Elnusa Valuation

Is ELSA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELSA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ELSA (IDR448) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR2585.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELSA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELSA?

Key metric: As ELSA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ELSA. This is calculated by dividing ELSA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ELSA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsRp696.01b
Market CapRp3.27t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELSA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELSA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
WINS Wintermar Offshore Marine
5.4x13.5%Rp2.0t
CTBN Citra Tubindo
5.8xn/aRp1.6t
MKAP Multikarya Asia Pasifik Raya
25.6xn/aRp908.2b
LEAD Logindo Samudramakmur
18.4xn/aRp486.0b
ELSA Elnusa
4.7xn/aRp3.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELSA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELSA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Energy Services Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ELSA 4.7xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies17PE01020304050+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELSA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Asian Energy Services industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELSA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELSA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ELSA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELSA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp448.00
Rp641.67
+43.2%
1.8%Rp650.00Rp625.00n/a3
Nov ’25Rp470.00
Rp635.00
+35.1%
1.7%Rp650.00Rp625.00n/a3
Oct ’25Rp472.00
Rp635.00
+34.5%
1.7%Rp650.00Rp625.00n/a3
Sep ’25Rp480.00
Rp627.50
+30.7%
0.4%Rp630.00Rp625.00n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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