PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk

IDX:AADI Stock Report

Market Cap: Rp71.6t

Adaro Andalan Indonesia Valuation

Is AADI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AADI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AADI (IDR9200) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR12628.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AADI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AADI?

Key metric: As AADI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AADI. This is calculated by dividing AADI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AADI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.2x
EarningsUS$1.40b
Market CapUS$4.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AADI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AADI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.4x
ADRO Alamtri Resources Indonesia
3.1x-19.1%Rp79.4t
CUAN Petrindo Jaya Kreasi
181.9xn/aRp100.6t
GEMS Golden Energy Mines
7.7xn/aRp65.1t
UNTR United Tractors
4.9x-5.3%Rp102.1t
AADI Adaro Andalan Indonesia
3.2x-32.9%Rp71.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AADI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.2x) compared to the peer average (49.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AADI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
AADI 3.2xIndustry Avg. 7.8xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AADI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.2x) compared to the ID Oil and Gas industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AADI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AADI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AADI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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