Lion Metal Works Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of LION when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

LION (IDR308) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (IDR21342.73)

Is LION undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LION when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LION (IDR308) is trading below our estimate of fair value (IDR21342.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LION is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LION?

Key metric: As LION is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LION. This is calculated by dividing LION's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LION's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.4x
Sales	Rp380.77b
Market Cap	Rp160.21b

LION key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-17.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LION's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LION vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.4x
BINO Perma Plasindo	1.2x	n/a	Rp463.1b
NAIK Adiwarna Anugerah Abadi	6.4x	n/a	Rp851.5b
EKAD Ekadharma International	1.5x	n/a	Rp775.6b
ASGR Astra Graphia	0.4x	n/a	Rp1.2t
LION Lion Metal Works	0.4x	n/a	Rp160.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LION is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LION's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Commercial Services Industry?

74 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

74 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LION is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Asian Commercial Services industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LION's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LION PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.4x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LION's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.