CLP Holdings Valuation

Is 2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2 (HK$65.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$97.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2?

Key metric: As 2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2. This is calculated by dividing 2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.8x
EarningsHK$7.55b
Market CapHK$164.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
1038 CK Infrastructure Holdings
16.9x5.9%HK$136.6b
6 Power Assets Holdings
17.9x4.7%HK$108.2b
2638 HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments
14.8x4.3%HK$46.1b
1713 Sichuan Energy Investment Development
5.8xn/aHK$2.2b
2 CLP Holdings
21.8x11.5%HK$164.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Electric Utilities Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2 21.8xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the Asian Electric Utilities industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.8x
Fair PE Ratio9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$65.05
HK$73.68
+13.3%
6.5%HK$80.00HK$64.00n/a10
Nov ’25HK$66.70
HK$73.14
+9.7%
6.4%HK$80.00HK$64.00n/a9
Oct ’25HK$68.85
HK$73.09
+6.2%
6.8%HK$80.00HK$64.00n/a8
Sep ’25HK$69.90
HK$73.60
+5.3%
7.0%HK$80.00HK$64.00n/a7
Aug ’25HK$69.15
HK$70.29
+1.6%
7.5%HK$78.00HK$63.00n/a7
Jul ’25HK$63.10
HK$71.38
+13.1%
8.0%HK$80.00HK$63.00n/a8
Jun ’25HK$61.85
HK$70.88
+14.6%
8.0%HK$80.00HK$63.00n/a8
May ’25HK$61.70
HK$70.63
+14.5%
7.7%HK$80.00HK$63.00n/a8
Apr ’25HK$62.35
HK$70.63
+13.3%
7.7%HK$80.00HK$63.00n/a8
Mar ’25HK$65.25
HK$70.63
+8.2%
7.7%HK$80.00HK$63.00n/a8
Feb ’25HK$63.05
HK$68.14
+8.1%
10.9%HK$80.00HK$57.00n/a7
Jan ’25HK$64.45
HK$66.40
+3.0%
10.4%HK$80.00HK$57.00n/a8
Dec ’24HK$59.25
HK$67.53
+14.0%
15.3%HK$86.00HK$55.00n/a8
Nov ’24HK$57.55
HK$67.53
+17.3%
15.3%HK$86.00HK$55.00HK$66.708
Oct ’24HK$57.95
HK$68.84
+18.8%
13.8%HK$86.00HK$55.00HK$68.858
Sep ’24HK$61.50
HK$68.84
+11.9%
13.8%HK$86.00HK$55.00HK$69.908
Aug ’24HK$63.95
HK$66.86
+4.5%
15.9%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$69.159
Jul ’24HK$60.90
HK$66.86
+9.8%
15.9%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$63.109
Jun ’24HK$56.65
HK$65.41
+15.5%
16.8%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$61.859
May ’24HK$58.40
HK$64.97
+11.2%
17.9%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$61.709
Apr ’24HK$56.70
HK$64.97
+14.6%
17.9%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$62.359
Mar ’24HK$56.45
HK$64.97
+15.1%
17.9%HK$86.00HK$50.00HK$65.259
Feb ’24HK$58.00
HK$67.18
+15.8%
18.8%HK$86.00HK$48.00HK$63.059
Jan ’24HK$56.95
HK$70.73
+24.2%
19.5%HK$86.00HK$48.00HK$64.459
Dec ’23HK$57.50
HK$70.73
+23.0%
19.5%HK$86.00HK$48.00HK$59.259
Nov ’23HK$53.75
HK$70.73
+31.6%
19.5%HK$86.00HK$48.00HK$57.559

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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