Stock Analysis

Has Huzhou Gas Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:6661) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

SEHK:6661
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Most readers would already be aware that Huzhou Gas' (HKG:6661) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past week. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Huzhou Gas' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Huzhou Gas

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huzhou Gas is:

14% = CN¥177m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Huzhou Gas' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To begin with, Huzhou Gas seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.4% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Huzhou Gas' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Huzhou Gas' earnings seems to be shrinking at a similar rate as the industry which shrunk at a rate of a rate of 1.1% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:6661 Past Earnings Growth October 2nd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Huzhou Gas fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Huzhou Gas Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 54% (implying that the company keeps only 46% of its income) of its business to reinvest into its business), most of Huzhou Gas' profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the absence of growth in earnings.

Only recently, Huzhou Gas started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Huzhou Gas certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Huzhou Gas' past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huzhou Gas might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.