The Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited's (HKG:3) investors are due to receive a payment of HK$0.23 per share on 26th of June. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 5.1%, which is around the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Hong Kong and China Gas
Hong Kong and China Gas Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Based on the last payment, Hong Kong and China Gas' profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 39.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 95%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Hong Kong and China Gas Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from HK$0.163 total annually to HK$0.35. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.9% over that duration. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, things aren't all that rosy. Over the past five years, it looks as though Hong Kong and China Gas' EPS has declined at around 8.6% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.
Our Thoughts On Hong Kong and China Gas' Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Hong Kong and China Gas you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious. Is Hong Kong and China Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3
Hong Kong and China Gas
Produces, distributes, and markets gas, water supply and energy services in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
Second-rate dividend payer with questionable track record.