Stock Analysis

Here's Why HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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SEHK:2638

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments

How Much Debt Does HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Carry?

As you can see below, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments had HK$50.7b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

SEHK:2638 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024

A Look At HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments had liabilities of HK$4.86b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$65.5b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$189.0m and HK$1.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$68.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of HK$46.6b, we think shareholders really should watch HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.9 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Fortunately, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments grew its EBIT by 7.8% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.