To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Taizhou Water Group (HKG:1542) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Taizhou Water Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.052 = CN¥141m ÷ (CN¥3.2b - CN¥465m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, Taizhou Water Group has an ROCE of 5.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Water Utilities industry average of 7.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Taizhou Water Group
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Taizhou Water Group, check out these free graphs here.
So How Is Taizhou Water Group's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Taizhou Water Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 8.0% over the last three years. However it looks like Taizhou Water Group might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Taizhou Water Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Taizhou Water Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last year has been flat. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Taizhou Water Group (including 2 which are concerning) .
While Taizhou Water Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About SEHK:1542
Taizhou Water Group
Engages in supplying municipal, tap, and raw water to end-users in Mainland China.
Low and slightly overvalued.