Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (HKG:1038)?

SEHK:1038
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CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (HKG:1038) saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine CK Infrastructure Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for CK Infrastructure Holdings

Is CK Infrastructure Holdings still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 12% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy CK Infrastructure Holdings today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth HK$51.90, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, CK Infrastructure Holdings’s low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.

What kind of growth will CK Infrastructure Holdings generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1038 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 19th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 32% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for CK Infrastructure Holdings. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 1038’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 1038, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with CK Infrastructure Holdings, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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