JD Logistics, Inc.

SHSC:2618 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$71.5b

JD Logistics Valuation

Is 2618 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 2618 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 2618 (HK$11.57) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (HK$48.85)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 2618 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2618?

Key metric: As 2618 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2618. This is calculated by dividing 2618's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2618's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsCN¥7.08b
Market CapCN¥62.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2618's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2618 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
1519 J&T Global Express
48.4x34.11%HK$75.3b
598 Sinotrans
6x-6.03%HK$40.3b
636 KLN Logistics Group
7.1x4.23%HK$10.0b
9699 Hangzhou SF Intra-city Industrial
20.2x38.31%HK$6.5b
2618 JD Logistics
8.8x12.63%HK$71.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2618's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2618 8.8xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies26PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the Asian Logistics industry average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2618's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2618 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2618 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2618 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$11.57
HK$18.62
+60.91%
6.88%HK$22.09HK$17.00n/a18
Jun ’27HK$13.32
HK$18.64
+39.94%
6.88%HK$22.11HK$17.02n/a18
May ’27HK$15.10
HK$17.82
+18.00%
9.13%HK$21.96HK$14.77n/a18
Apr ’27HK$14.14
HK$16.91
+19.57%
14.85%HK$22.78HK$10.30n/a17
Mar ’27HK$11.17
HK$16.78
+50.20%
13.30%HK$22.75HK$12.40n/a17
Feb ’27HK$11.19
HK$16.68
+49.10%
13.06%HK$22.57HK$12.42n/a17
Jan ’27HK$11.42
HK$17.65
+54.59%
15.03%HK$23.59HK$12.40n/a19
Dec ’26HK$12.44
HK$17.53
+40.95%
14.89%HK$23.41HK$12.40n/a19
Nov ’26HK$12.66
HK$17.56
+38.71%
14.58%HK$23.22HK$12.60n/a19
Oct ’26HK$13.10
HK$17.63
+34.62%
14.30%HK$23.24HK$12.60n/a19
Sep ’26HK$13.08
HK$17.66
+34.98%
14.20%HK$23.23HK$12.61n/a19
Aug ’26HK$13.74
HK$17.45
+27.01%
15.66%HK$23.25HK$12.00n/a18
Jul ’26HK$13.14
HK$17.50
+33.15%
16.15%HK$23.32HK$11.50n/a18
Jun ’26HK$12.44
HK$17.45
+40.24%
16.15%HK$23.40HK$11.49HK$13.3218
May ’26HK$12.24
HK$17.75
+44.98%
13.28%HK$23.38HK$12.47HK$15.1019
Apr ’26HK$12.76
HK$18.48
+44.83%
13.98%HK$23.32HK$12.52HK$14.1419
Mar ’26HK$13.92
HK$18.94
+36.05%
15.61%HK$24.40HK$11.72HK$11.1718
Feb ’26HK$13.34
HK$18.96
+42.16%
15.60%HK$24.41HK$11.74HK$11.1918
Jan ’26HK$12.80
HK$19.20
+49.99%
13.60%HK$25.01HK$12.91HK$11.4218
Dec ’25HK$13.90
HK$19.11
+37.48%
15.36%HK$24.98HK$12.95HK$12.4418
Nov ’25HK$15.96
HK$16.14
+1.11%
22.26%HK$22.16HK$10.74HK$12.6618
Oct ’25HK$14.00
HK$12.84
-8.28%
17.98%HK$20.03HK$10.35HK$13.1018
Sep ’25HK$9.55
HK$12.78
+33.80%
18.22%HK$20.16HK$10.28HK$13.0818
Aug ’25HK$7.94
HK$12.31
+55.06%
18.57%HK$18.99HK$9.39HK$13.7418
Jul ’25HK$8.38
HK$12.36
+47.53%
17.75%HK$18.94HK$9.50HK$13.1418
Jun ’25HK$8.52
HK$12.31
+44.45%
18.06%HK$18.99HK$8.81HK$12.4419
HK$18.62
Fair Value
37.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/26 16:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

JD Logistics, Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Cherry LeungBernstein
Fan TsoBofA Global Research
Qibin FengChina International Capital Corporation Limited