As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Limited (HKG:306) shareholders, since the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 3.4%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 27% in a year. The silver lining is that the stock is up 1.9% in about a week.
View our latest analysis for Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings saw its share price decline over the three years in which its EPS also dropped, falling to a loss. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' TSR, which was a 46% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 27%, against a market gain of about 11%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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About SEHK:306
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings
An investment holding company, provides bus and bus-related services in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China.
Low and slightly overvalued.