Qilu Expressway Valuation

Is 1576 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1576 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1576 (HK$2.29) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$1.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1576 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1576?

Key metric: As 1576 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1576. This is calculated by dividing 1576's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1576's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	9x
Earnings	CN¥473.38m
Market Cap	CN¥4.26b

1576 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	14.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1576's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1576 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.8x
737 Shenzhen Investment Holdings Bay Area Development	9.3x	n/a	HK$5.6b
1052 Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure	8.7x	8.9%	HK$6.1b
1785 Chengdu Expressway	5.9x	n/a	HK$3.7b
107 Sichuan Expressway	7.3x	n/a	HK$14.6b
1576 Qilu Expressway	9x	n/a	HK$4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1576 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1576's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Infrastructure Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1576 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the Hong Kong Infrastructure industry average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1576's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1576 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	9x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1576's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.